No. 12 Auburn meets No. 13 Texas A&M in a key SEC West showdown on Saturday.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. at Kyle Field in College Station, Tex. The game will be televised on CBS. It’s the only matchup between ranked teams in Week 10.
Auburn (6-2) still has a chance to win the SEC West, but they need this road victory to keep those hopes alive. Quarterback Bo Nix has guided the Tigers to a pair of division victories against Arkansas and Ole Miss, and the Tigers have exceeded expectations under first-year coach Bryan Harsin.
Texas A&M (6-2) had a bye week to prepare for another home matchup. The Aggies have won three in a row starting with the upset against No. 1 Alabama, and Jimbo Fisher has his team playing like the one that was hyped in the preseason. Quarterback Zach Calzada needs to continue to improve.
The Tigers have won three of the last four meetings. With that in mind, here is all you need to know about betting on the Auburn-Texas A&M matchup:
Auburn vs. Texas A&M odds
Spread: Texas A&M -4.5
Moneyline: Texas A&M -215, Auburn +172
Three trends to know
— The Aggies did have a bye week, and they are 5-2 S/U with a rest advantage under Jimbo Fisher.
— Auburn has won the last four meetings at Kyle Field, including a 28-20 victory in 2019. The Tigers are 2-2 ATS an underdog this season, but that includes S/U road wins at Arkansas and LSU.
— Texas A&M is 17-2 S/U and 12-7 ATS as a home favorite under Fisher. The Aggies are 4-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS at Kyle Field this season.
Three things to watch
— Zach Calzada’s accuracy. The Aggies are on a three-game winning streak, but Calzada has a 57.5 completion percentage in that stretch. The play-making ability is there with seven TDs in those three games, but has just two starts with more than 250 yards. The Tigers have four defensive players with at least three sacks. Texas A&M needs to control the tempo on both sides.
— The Bo Nix experience. Is there a quarterback who has had more ups and downs? Nix is on a two-game tear in which had completed 76.8 percent of his passes and averaged 284 passing yards with three TDs and one interception. He’s averaged 36 rushing yards with three more TDs in those games. How will the Aggies keep Nix in the pocket?
— DeMarvin Leal. The SN Midseason All-American is one of the most-disruptive forces in college football. He has 5.5 sacks and 8.5 tackles for loss, and teammate Tyree Johnson has six sacks. That is going to be a challenge for Auburn’s running game in between the tackles with Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter.
Stat that matters
Auburn ranks fourth in the FBS with 63 tackles for loss. It’s an aggressive defense under new defensive coordinator Derek Mason. Eku Leota and Colby Wooten lead that group with seven TFLs apiece. Texas A&M will counter that with Isaih Spiller, who averages 6.2 yards per carry behind a strong offensive line. The Aggies are 4-1 this season when Spiller rushes for 100 yards or more.
Auburn vs. Texas A&M prediction
This should be a fun game. Both teams thrive at pressure defense. Texas A&M is a little better at getting off the field on third down, and the home crowd will make a difference. Nix makes some huge plays in the first half, and the Tigers lead at halftime. The Aggies stay patient in the running game and hold off a last-minute drive to score another big SEC West victory.
Final score: Texas A&M 28, Auburn 23