Jamie Dimon, chairman and chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., speaks during the Institute of International Finance (IIF) annual membership meeting in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022.
Ting Shen | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Here’s what the company reported:
- Earnings of $3.57 per share which exceeds the $3.07 estimate after excluding one-time items, according to Refinitiv.
- Revenue of $35.57 billion vs. $34.3 billion estimate
But the bank posted a $2.3 billion provision for credit losses in the quarter, a 49% increase from the third quarter that exceeded the $1.96 billion StreetAccount estimate, as it set aside money for expected defaults. Shares dipped 3% in premarket trading.
The move was driven by a “modest deterioration in the Firm’s macroeconomic outlook, now reflecting a mild recession in the central case” as well as loan growth from customers using their Chase credit cards, the bank said.
The recession, in which U.S. unemployment could reach 4.9%, is expected by JPMorgan economists to hit in the fourth quarter of this year, CFO Jeremy Barnum told reporters Friday in a media call.
While JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said Friday that the U.S. economy “currently remains strong” thanks to well-financed consumers and businesses, he pointed to a series of risks to that outlook.
“We still do not know the ultimate effect of the headwinds coming from geopolitical tensions including the war in Ukraine, the vulnerable state of energy and food supplies, persistent inflation that is eroding purchasing power and has pushed interest rates higher, and the unprecedented quantitative tightening,” Dimon said.
Quantitative tightening refers to central banks’ moves to shrink their balance sheets by halting or reversing previous bond-buying programs.
JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, is closely watched for clues on how the industry is navigating an economy at a crossroads.
Analysts expected a mixed bag of conflicting trends from banks. Higher rates help lenders earn more interest income, but some of that boost was offset by bigger provisions for expected loan losses as the economy slows.
Dimon rattled markets last year when he said an economic “hurricane” caused by the Federal Reserve was headed for the U.S.
Shares of JPMorgan have climbed 4% this year, compared with the 6% rise of the KBW Bank Index.
This story is developing. Please check back for updates.